Monday, January 17, 2022

Week Ahead As Per Models


A beautiful sunrise to begin Martin Luther King Day, with nice colors on clouds - above Catalinas and bottom from San Simon.

The forecasts for 500 mb from the 00 UTC run of the GFS indicate a weak short wave across Arizona tomorrow (above), followed by a much stronger system on the weekend (below).


Plumes from the GEFS (above) indicate a slight chance for showers at the airport tomorrow, and chances all over the place for the weekend. The WRF-GFS from 00 UTC (below) is much more bullish, indicating a significant precipitation event for most of state. Will watch how the model trends during the week!


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