Last night was the Orionids meteor shower. I scanned the Atmo movies and didn't see much activity - note that the cameras do not look toward Orion this time of year. Above was meteor at 5:40 am MST, looking toward the Rincons.
Statement from NWS Fotecast office this morning (above) highlights the unsettled weather over the next few days - note the mention of snow at highest elevations. The current morning forecast for the airport is shown in the two panels below. Max POPs for airport are 50 % for Sunday night.
Above shows the 06 UTC GFS forecast of the 500 mb level valid at 5:00 pm on Sunday evening. Pattern is complicated, and a bit uncertain, as system digging south kicks out the low off Baja - leaving southern Arizona between the vorticity maxima of the two features.
Forecasts show here are from the 12 UTC run of the WRF-RR at Atmo. Forecast for wind speeds above indicates maximum winds occuring over metro area late Sunday morning the 23rd. Precipitation forecast (below) is for period ending at 5:00 am on Monday morning. Model indicates widespread precipitation across most of Pima County, with several spots in eastern Pima County having amounts near or over an inch.
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