Yesterday was essentially suppressed across all of southeast Arizona, although there were streets of heavy Cu in the southerly flow all afternoon - somewhat unsual for here.----------------------------------------------------------
It continues moist in low-levels over the southeast corner of the state, and skies were quite chaotic at sunrise (top image of Catalinas) with heavy Cu, some layered cloud, and even some towers poking up. Mt. Lemmon had 0.04" of precip in last six hours. There is a very large gradient in PW between here and Phoenix - TUS has about 33-34 mm while PHX has about 17 mm. It appears that the dryout will push on across southeastern Arizona today as the NAM forecast builds the 500 mb, east Pacific subtropical high inland over the Southwest. The morning sounding (middle image) does indicate some CAPE around early, and so there might be some isolated storms along the Borderlands this afternoon. Although upper-levels are very dry (see WV image at bottom above) over the Southwest, note the very large MCS this morning at the mouth of the GoC, so lower latitudes remain active.
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The weather attention will continue to be directed to the east where Earl and Fiona will spin by close to the northeast US coast.
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