Heavy middle clouds drifting around early this morning - view from Atmo above.
Tucson radar above (from CoD - base scan from 7:40 am MST) shows the mountains returning strong ground echoes this morning. First couple of tilts evidently trapped below several inversions from surface to 700 mb this morning - TWC sounding from 12 UTC below.
Models are forecasting another large, cold trough at 500 mb for the second half of Thanksgiving week (average forecast from GEFS ensembles above is valid at 5:00 pm on Thanksgiving Day).
GEFS plumes from 06 UTC indicate heavy rains and strong winds for second half of the coming week. So the possibility is setting up for another big rain event here in metro Tucson before end of November.
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