Saturday, June 27, 2020

Perhaps A Sprinkle Today


Early morning view before sunrise above - some smoke from Bighorn fire right third of image. The fire is approaching 90,000 acres. Down at bottom is south view from Kitt Peak at about the same time, showing heavy clouds and some virga.


Radar forecast above (from 00 UTC WRF-GFS) is valid at 6:00 pm MST this afternoon. Showers and storms brushing east part of metro area. Below is rainfall forecast from same run indicating slight chance for measurable rainfall parts of metro area.

Second below shows 06 UTC plumes for QPF at the airport indicating slight chances today and a bit better by the end of next week. The operational GFS (blue) is a serious outlier on the heavy side. Regardless, things definitely looking up by next weekend.

Biggest concern the next several days will be strong southwesterly winds, which could impact the wildfire situation.




No comments:

Post a Comment