This morning's GFS run of the operational model indicates that the first week in March could be quite similar to the last week of February. A S/W at 500 mb passes to the north at midweek, albeit stronger and closer than during the week just ended - perhaps more significant winds and some showers around. But, the really interesting forecast at 500 mb is shown above - valid at midnight next Saturday night (06 UTC Sunday March 7th). This forecast is quite similar to this morning's 500 mb analysis shown two posts earlier today. So, it looks like there's the possiblity of yet another stormy weekend, which would make three out four. For the record, the GFS appears to be 24 to 48 hours faster than the ECMWF by next weekend, so we'll need to keep a close eye on both models during the week ahead.
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