First, above shows severe thunderstorm reports from SPC for yesterday, March 28th. There were more than 200 reports tabulated at SPC.
Here at the house, the morning low temperature this morning (March 29th) came in at 35 F, which is a tie for second coldest morning of the entire month.
Above and below are comparisons of the ECMWF and GFS operational member forecasts for 500 mb - above forecasts valid at 00 UTC on March 31st and below valid at 00 UTC on April 5th. The ECMWF continues to forecast deeper shortwaves across the Southwest. However, the last comparison I showed verified in favor of the GFS. At 48-hours (above) the GFS is only slightly weaker than ECMWF, but forecast vorticity advection is substantially different over northern Arizona. By 168-hours (below) the forecasts are quite different over all of the West, with large differences in height over southern California and northern Baja. Will watch to see how the two models play out during the coming week.
No comments:
Post a Comment