Wednesday, November 11, 2020

Warm Up Here/New Hurricane in Gulf Of Mexico

Another morning with not a cloud in the sky here, as a new period of fair weather commences. Down at bottom is current view from Ft. Myers, Florida, where Hurricane Eta is located off to the southwest of the city.

The GEFS plumes from 06 UTC for temperature at the airport (below) indicate a gradual warm-up that extends into the middle of next week. 

In the Gulf of Mexico, Eta has become a minimal hurricane, according to statements from the NHC. Eta is currently northwest of the the Florida Keys, and forecast to move north-northeastward toward the Tampa area. Current forecast, below from NHC, takes the system across northern Florida as a tropical storm. The 06 UTC GEFS plumes for QPF at Tampa (second below) show that the member forecasts have a huge range of almost 5 inches during the day 1 forecasts - not much help there!


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