Friday, June 25, 2021

Enrique/Dry Weekend Here



We had a golden sunrise this morning in this part of the city. Image down at bottom shows a really large crowd watching Old Faithful do its thing this morning.


At 4:00 am (PDT) this morning the NHC declared that the disturbance off of southern Mexico had strengthened to become TS Enrique - IR satellite image above.  The forecast for Enrique (below) indicates the storm will strengthen as it moves slowly northwestward toward southern Baja - remains to be seen whether the storm might eventually impact the Southwest.


The morning sounding for TWC (above) shows dry west winds above about 650 mb and no BL CAPE. The 500 mb analysis (from SPC below) shows a chopped-up pattern across sourthen half of US that is dominated by a large ridge from northern Mexico to the East Coast, but with weak lows over Florida and California/Nevada border.

The 06 UTC GEFS QPF plumes (second below) for the airport indicate a fairly wet week beginning Monday. 





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