Tuesday, June 15, 2021

Smokey Skies

Smokey skies prevail, along with red sky sunrises - above from campus and bottom from Sahuarita,

There were isolated thunderstorms yesterday over northern Mexico and eastern Arizona - as per detected CG flashes for 24-hours ending at 1:30 am MST this morning (above).

Total precipitable water (above at 14 UTC this morning) shows values near and over an inch (blues to yellow) extending up the GoC into southern Arizona. The 12 UTC 500 mb analysis (below) shows a summertime pattern, with a large anticyclone centered somewhere near the Four Corners. The 06 UTC WRF-GFS forecast of total precipitation - second below - through 10 am on June 18th (Friday) indicates only very light showers along the Rim Country and White Mountains. Although today is the start of the NWS defined "Monsoon Season", it looks like we will mostly have to deal with the continuing, searing, 110 F degree heat this week.

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