Showers Before End Of March?

Pre-sunrise color this morning, looking east along I-10 from Wilcox.

Plumes for QPF at the airport (above) from the 06 UTC GEFS this morning - all of the ensemble members forecast rainfall at airport late Monday night into Tuesday.

 Current forecast from NWS indicates 60% POPs for Monday night and 80% for Tuesday. 

Forecast below is from the 06 UTC WRF-GFS run at Atmo, and is for precipitation through 6:00 pm MST Tuesday afternoon - the forecast is similar to the GEFS, with 0.20" forecast at the airport. Note the strong north-south gradient, with around an inch and half indicated for eastern Pinal County.

The GEFS plumes for temperature (above) indicate a dramatic cool down for Tuesday, but with another quick rebound. The WRF forecast (below) indicates 91 F at airport tomorrow, with all of southwest Arizona quite hot for this time of year.

 The plumes for wind indicate a blustery/windy afternoon here on Monday, and WRF forecast below (valid at 3:30 pm om Monday) indicates the same.

Perhaps I'll get a bit more rain in the gauge here before the month ends - precipitation here for month, so far, is only 0.03" (NOT 0.04" as I reported earlier).