Thursday, May 16, 2013

Boundary Layer Has Cooled Some

The early WRF-GFS forecast of the Tucson skew-T for 5 pm MST this afternoon (16 May 2013) indicates a more shallow and cooler boundary layer than we had earlier this week. Looks like another afternoon with gusty, dry southwest winds.

Above is the current NHC forecast for TS Alvin, indicating the storm will stay at fairly low latitudes during the forecast period. Alvin is characterized by a number of clusters of convection this morning and appears to be poorly organized.

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