Yesterday's early WRF-GFS forecast was quite accurate - see previous post. The radar composite image from NWS TUS (above) at 0439 am MST shows echoes similar to the model forecast. The observed TUS morning sounding at 12 UTC 14 May (below) is also very similar to the model forecast.
Visible satellite image from 1345 UTC this morning shows a band of clouds and buildups (above). There were a few sprinkles about, but the high-based buildups produced mostly virga and some mammatus. there was a brief whiff of rain in the air here at the house a bit after 5 am. Images below were taken around 6 am MST this morning. The early WRF-GFS today forecasts a few light echoes over eastern Pima County this afternoon but keeps more significant echoes to the east and south - will check the morning forecasts later today (note added: Mike Leuthold reports that there were problems with the morning runs).
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