Eastern Pacific Tropical Activity In The Long-Range?

First, the strange dewpoint temperatures yesterday afternoon did reflect a drying out that the instruments apparently had trouble with because of the very low RH values. The drier air led to a markedly cooler morning here at the house, with a low temperature of 62F - almost 10 degrees cooler than yesterday morning. Air down along the Rillito Wash was even cooler - very pleasant at sunrise.

The long-range forecasts from the Global Models have been interesting for the past few days. Some of the model variants have been forecasting a TS or Hurricane moving just southwest of Baja. The graphic above is from one of the GFS ensemble members - valid at the end of next week. There are now nine of the GFS members forecasting something similar out at 8 to 10 days - will be interesting to watch. Note that the forecast above, were it to actually verify, would bring a major, deep surge of mT air northward into the Southwest.