There are so many things of interest in the early WRF forecasts from Atmo this morning that I suggest that interested readers may want to take a closer look: http://www.atmo.arizona.edu/?section=weather&id=wrf
Forecast above from WRF-NAM is for 10-m winds valid at 2 pm MST this afternoon - looks like more trouble for firefighters dealing with a number of wildfires across the state - particularly the Slide fire north of Sedona in Oak Creek Canyon and the Skunk fire east of Globe.
WRF-NAM forecasts of composite radar echoes are shown here - above is valid at 5 pm tomorrow, May 23rd and below is valid at 6 pm on Saturday, May 24th. Main aspect of forecast is that fairly numerous, high-based thunderstorms will produce lightning, strong winds, dust, and some light rains tomorrow and Saturday (storms today will be mostly over the White Mountains and in New Mexico).
Numerous strong thunderstorm outflows are forecast for tomorrow and Saturday - above is an example from the forecast for 7 pm MST on Saturday afternoon. Total rainfall forecast through 11 pm on Saturday night is shown below - amounts are mostly light but a few spots are forecast to receive from 1/2 to 3/4 of an inch - the light green areas. Several interesting weather days ahead of us and there will undoubtedly be some related problems across the state.
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