Buildups on Catalinas at about 2:30 m MST yesterday afternoon.
There were storms yesterday afternoon and evening, but they mostly avoided the main metro area. The ALERT rainfall plot above is for 24-hours ending at 7:00 am this morning.Two sites near Marana had largest amounts, with just over half an inch. Shut out here as a large storm developed just off to the west. The airport had thunder with gusts to 51 mph and 0.18". Plot of detected CG flashes below (from Atmo and Vaisala) is for 24-hours ending at 1:30 am today.
At 500 mb this morning the anticyclone is centered along eastern border of Arizona, a bit to northeast of here, with generally light winds. Visible image below (for 6:30 am) shows the heaviest cloud band now extends from southern California into Utah.
The Mimic PW analysis above is for 7:00 am and shows abundant moisture across Arizona and southern California, extending northward across southern Nevada and Utah. Remnants of TS Dalila are spinning west of southern Baja.
This morning's sounding analysis (below from SPC) continues to show over an inch and a half of PW and moderate CAPE. However, wind field continues to be disorganized, with no clear steering level winds.
The forecast of composite radar at bottom is from 06 UTC WRF-GFS and is valid at 5:00 pm. While there are some strong storms over eastern Pima County, the bulk of the activity is forecast to stay south-to-west of the metro area.
No comments:
Post a Comment