Tuesday, August 30, 2022

Fair And Dry


Cloudless skies a bit before 9:00 am MST this morning.


As plot of CGs flashes for 24 hours ending at 9:03 UTC this morning (above - from Atmo and Vaisala) shows almost no thunderstorm activity over the entire state yesterday. No rain here or across the ALERT network.

The morning sounding lot for TWC/TUS (below) shows a dry sounding that may have just a sliver of CAPE with a deeply mixed afternoon BL (ignore the lifted parcel analysis since it is not realistic). 



Forecast for rainfall through midnight (above, from 12 UTC WRF-RR) indicates some possible sprinkles over southeast Arizona. Graphic below shows predicted rainfall (from 06 UTC GFS) through the coming week. Not much to look forward to.

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