Limited time this morning, but here's a quick overview. Cloud cover this early morning at 5:42 am MST.
Considerable thunderstorm activity over the metro area yesterday, as the models prevail again (above plot of detected CG flashes from Atmo and Vaisala).
ALERT rainfall for 24-hours ending at 7:00 am this morning - a widespread event, with numerous reports over half an inch. Here at house we received only 0.02"; airport had 0.08", Atmo reported 0.31", and DM had 0.37".
Little change at 250 mb (above) this morning - anticyclone center has shifted slightly eastward. The morning sounding for TWC/TUS (below) continues moist and unstable. It appears that amount of heating will be important today for storm development, as morning cloudiness is persisting after yesterday's rains.
But, the forecast models manage to develop storms again today. Forecasts from the 06 UTC WRF-GFS: above composite radar echoes at 8:00 pm this evening, and below rainfall through midnight.
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